Friday, October 5, 2018

Football 2018: Week Six

It's hard to believe that Texas A&M's regular season will be half over when they finish the game against Kentucky tomorrow night. In July, I checked the schedule and mentally circled this game as one of maybe six the Aggies could probably win. In October, the Wildcats are 5-0, have already beaten future A&M opponents South Carolina and Mississippi State, and handed the Florida Gators their only loss. Kentucky is ranked in the top 15, and A&M hasn't done well at home against ranked teams since joining the SEC.

I've listened to the pundits chatter on the FM sports talk station, and they've made Kentucky sound unbeatable. I expected A&M would be an underdog at home, and was surprised to see the Aggies are a 5.5 point favorite instead. College Football News expects the game will be close, with A&M covering the spread 26-20. They might pull off a win, but not unless they play a lot better than they did against Arkansas last Saturday.

UPDATE 9:37 PM Saturday: Damn. That game was an ordeal, a major pain in the ass, a classic defensive struggle. I was pretty sure A&M had snatched another defeat from the jaws of victory when a fumble on a play that should have iced a 14-7 win for the Aggies resulted in a 14-14 tie and overtime instead. The A&M defense gave up one long TD in the first quarter, but basically shut Kentucky's offense down the rest of the night, and it may be their defense and special teams that keep them alive the rest of the season. Assuming Kentucky is really as good as everybody said they were all week, this was a quality win at Kyle Field, and there haven't been many of those since 2012.  Final 20-14 in OT.

PS: I like the fact that players wear traditional A&M football uniforms for home games and road games. No exotic "new looks" every week. I think the Aggies under Sumlin worried more about the style of their uniforms than learning how to play SEC-quality football. Just a personal gripe.

Another TV game I'll probably watch for at least a quarter is the annual shootout between Oklahoma U (5-0) and Texas U (4-1). I hate the longhorns even more than I hate OU, so I want the sooners to cover the 7.5 point spread and give them an ass-whipping. I also want to check out Kyler Murray, who was mostly unimpressive when he played for Sumlin as a freshman in 2015, but is lighting it up this year at OU. CFN thinks the Sooners will get all they can handle, but still squeak out a 30-27 victory.

UPDATE: The fucking sooners lost to the fucking horns, 48-45.

CFN expects Alabama will blow out Arkansas, and Ole Miss will blow out ULM. In SEC games that might have some significance for Texas A&M, here are the CFN picks:
  • South Carolina, favored by a point at home, will edge Missouri 27-24. Update: The Gamecocks eke out a 37-35 win.
  • LSU, favored by 2.5 points at Florida, will lose a close one 23-20. Update: Florida looks tough knocking off LSU 27-19.
  • Auburn, favored by 3.5 points at Mississippi State, will cover 26-16. Update: Not today, Auburn. The Bulldogs prevail 23-9.

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