Friday, November 16, 2018

Football 2018: Week Twelve

Last summer, I believed Texas A&M's eleventh regular season game would be a fairly easy win against a cream puff, probably their seventh (and final) win of the season. The opponent, University of Alabama-Birmingham, appeared back then to be the kind of opponent A&M has typically been able to outscore even in their off years.

But UAB rolls into town with a 9-1 record against Conference USA competition and a salty, high-pressure defense, so this won't be the stroll in the park that I hoped the Aggies might enjoy. The home team is favored by 16, and College Football News anticipates A&M's ball control offense will outperform UAB's pressure defense in a 30-17 win. The way the Aggie season has gone, I'll take that result in a heartbeat.

Update 12:40 AM Sunday: A so-so SEC West team should be able to beat a very good Conference USA team by 20 points, right? Well, Texas A&M is definitely a so-so team at 7-4, but they're still good enough to thump U.A.B. by three touchdowns, 41-20.

The rest of the SEC television schedule is cluttered with a slew of non-conference mismatches like Rice vs LSU, and The Citadel vs Alabama. There are only two games with any viewing potential whatsoever, other than UAB at TAMU:
  • Missouri (6-4) at Tennessee (5-5) in the CBS showcase game at 2:30 PM. Missouri is a six-point road favorite, but CFN predicts Tennessee will pull off a mild upset (24-23) at home. I hate Missouri, so I want the Vols to win. Update: No upset here as Missouri goes wild 50-17 over the Vols. Shit.
  • Ole Miss (5-5) at Vanderbilt (4-6) at 6:30 PM on SEC Network. The Commodores are favored by a field goal at home and CFN expects they'll narrowly win a 41-37 shootout. I can never get enough of seeing Ole Miss lose. Update: Vanderbilt got by Ole Miss 36-29 in overtime. Hooray for Vandy.
Other scores I noticed: Mississippi State demolished Arkansas 52-6, and LSU whipped the Rice Owls 42-10.

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